The models' score, in AUC, in predicting DR within 2 years
| Image prediction (by algorithm) | Patient prediction (by algorithm) | HbA1c-based prediction | Disease duration-based prediction | |
| Mild DR to mtmDR | 0.63 (0.56 to 0.70) | 0.65 (0.57 to 0.73) | 0.66 (0.62 to 0.71) | 0.50 (0.46 to 0.54) |
| No DR to mtmDR | 0.67 (0.64 to 0.70) | 0.71 (0.68 to 0.74) | 0.65 (0.63 to 0.67) | 0.60 (0.59 to 0.62) |
| mtmDR− to mtmDR+ | 0.75 (0.72 to 0.78) | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.84) | 0.70 (0.68 to 0.72) | 0.63 (0.62 to 0.65) |
| Any DR progression | 0.71 (0.68 to 0.73) | 0.75 (0.72 to 0.78) | 0.67 (0.66 to 0.69) | 0.61 (0.60 to 0.62) |
In the parentheses 95% CI. See supplemental for additional timeframes.
AI, artifical intelligence; AUC, area under receiver operating curve; DR, diabetic retinopathy; HbA1c, haemoglobin A1c; mtmDR, more than mild diabetic retinopathy.