Discussion
The results show some evidence that the low dose of bevacizumab was not non-inferior to standard dose; the upper confidence limit only just exceeded the pre-defined non-inferiority HR of 1.4. So, in practice, the low and standard doses may be viewed as similarly effective. It was not demonstrated that the bimonthly review arms were non-inferior to the monthly review arms.
Since trial inception, a number of trials5–8 23 25–27 have demonstrated that bevacizumab is as effective as ranibizumab in the treatment of nAMD. The TANDEM trial provides evidence that low dose bevacizumab is similarly effective to standard dose. Recently, NICE concluded that there were no clinically significant differences in safety3 between the bevacizumab and other agents. We found no evidence for a difference in safety between the low dose and standard dose regimens.
We observed that the number losing ≥15 letters (three lines) of vision during the induction phase was greater in the standard dose compared with the low dose (12 cases vs 2 cases), which was unexpected. Sudden loss of three lines of vison is usually due to subretinal bleeding and it can be speculated that this is a rare consequence of blood vessel regression and so it is possible that it is causally related to use of the higher dose.
It has become clear that these treatments do not completely stabilise the disease and that vision deteriorates over time, and this was noted here. Our observed rates of visual loss were comparable to other reports.27 The SEVEN-UP study which included the original cohorts from the ANCHOR and MARINA studies showed an average of 19.8 letters lost between years 2 and 7 of follow-up which gives a rate of visual loss of about four letters per year.28 The long-term follow-up for CATT patients showed a loss of 11 letters from the end of year 2 to end of year 5 which equates to 3.6 letters per year. The rate of vision loss was significantly greater for those that had received ranibizumab compared with those who received bevacizumab.29
In this study, the median time to event (losing five letters from the average of the VA during the loading period) was 3 years for the bimonthly review arms and 3.6 years for the monthly review arms for those with active disease, equating to a difference of under half a letter per year in the rate of visual loss of between the regimens. This difference is of uncertain clinical significance and both monthly and bimonthly as required (PRN) regimens can be considered effective in the treatment of nAMD; the more intensive (monthly review regimen) may be appropriate for patients at a critical threshold where the loss of a couple of letters would be significant. However, some patients may accept a slightly worse outcome as they prefer a less intensive review regimen.30
The median number of injections per participant was 5–6 (online supplemental table 4), which was fewer than in other studies and yet the results were comparable, suggesting that there may be a tendency to overtreat. The FLUID study showed that subretinal fluid could be safely observed in selected cases, showing that it is not always an indicator of active disease.31 Here, it was observed that there were more macular haemorrhages causing severe visual loss in the standard arms during the induction phase. This was an unexpected observation but suggests that in some cases, haemorrhage may be due to blood vessel regression and not due to disease activity.
A particular advantage of the PRN regimens is that it allows early recognition of inactive disease thereby preventing over treatment. A disadvantage is that those with active disease may get under treated. A compromise position is to consider treating those with active disease with a ‘mini-course’. The PRN regimens in the CATT study5 6 did slightly less well than those given monthly injections where a single injection was given if there was disease activity. In the IVAN PRN group, retreatment when required was given by a course of 3 monthly injections, and there was no difference noted between the PRN and monthly groups.7 8 The VIEW 1 and 2 studies showed that aflibercept was not inferior to ranibizumab17 32 and can be given bimonthly on a continuous basis.
Strengths of this study were the inclusive nature of the study population and the length of follow-up. As a pragmatic trial, TANDEM included all patients who met the criteria for standard care anti-VEGF treatment. Patients who declined to have a FFA but were still thought to have nAMD were still eligible for enrolment into TANDEM; 86% did have a pretreatment FFA and in 97% of these, the diagnosis was confirmed by CARF.
All previous trials have been limited to 1–2 years which meant that long-term visual deterioration could not be observed. As a time-to-event trial, participants remained in the trial with active disease for up to 5 years, allowing assessment of the long-term outcomes for the majority of participants. In contrast, there were a subset of participants (n=176) who could not be followed to vision deterioration or stable disease as they remained disease active at the point the trial ended.
The trial had limitations. The time-to-event trial design is unusual for nAMD trials and has made it difficult to directly compare results with previous research. The design was chosen for reasons of patient safety; it enabled anyone with visual deterioration to be exited early from the trial back to routine NHS care. This was appropriate at the time of trial design since the trials demonstrating non-inferiority of bevacizumab had not been reported.
The trial was designed to run in parallel with routine NHS care, and all services were (and are) struggling with capacity. This meant that centres had to discharge patients who were thought to have inactive disease and so the long-term results are in terms of those with ‘active disease’ rather than the total population.
This study has shown that although the upper confidence limit just exceeded the predefined non-inferiority HR of 1.4, low and standard doses might in practice be viewed as similarly effective in the treatment of nAMD.
The study did not provide evidence that bimonthly PRN regimen is non-inferior to monthly. Continuous regimens run the risk of over treatment and PRN of under treatment. NICE modelled the existing regimens and concluded that there was little difference between any of the commonly used ones; but this remains an area for future research.
Research in context
TANDEM is the UK’s largest nAMD clinical trial (and one of the largest conducted worldwide) with the participants accurately reflecting the NHS patient population. TANDEM was unique in that it was embedded within ophthalmology clinics and was the vehicle for delivery of routine NHS care. This design allowed for prolonged observation of participants of up to 5 years, exceeding previous trials where follow-up typically ended at the 1 or 2 year time point. This is particularly relevant as it is after 2 years of treatment that visual outcomes have been shown to drop off.
TANDEM is the only trial to date that has directly investigated whether a bimonthly bevacizumab regimen is non-inferior compared with a monthly treatment. This has been given particular relevance recently as bimonthly bevacizumab is the only nAMD treatment regimen that met the NICE criteria for cost-effectiveness on their health economic model (though they have approved other regimens).